Research

My research spans three interconnected areas. I study the composition, emergence, and evolution of political elites and party organizations, the nature and causes of political polarization, and how conflict, violence, and extremist actors threaten liberal democracy. Across these areas, I combine large-scale archival data with experimental and observational research designs.

Political representation begins with who enters politics in the first place. I study the composition of political elites — examining how individual characteristics, local context, party strategy and voter discrimination shape who stands for office and who succeeds. My work leverages newly collected candidate data across all levels of government (national, state, local).

My dissertation, Taking Root, asks how new political parties build durable local organizations. I show that new parties mobilize voters and establish roots in communities by recruiting local elites who leverage their existing ties — transforming party entry from a top-down directive into a bottom-up process.

Focusing on micro-level candidates, I want to better understand the context under which party organizations change. When does generational replacement happen? Under which conditions do party elites face incentives to invest in party organizations?

Relevant work

Journal Articles

  1. Electoral Discrimination, Party Rationale, and the Underrepresentation of Immigrant‐Origin Politicians Daniel AuerLea Portmann, and Thomas Tichelbaecker American Journal of Political Science, 2025

Work in Progress

  1. Taking Root: How New Parties Mobilize Voters and Build Organizations Thomas Tichelbaecker Working paper, 2026
  2. Who Reaches across the Aisle? Lea Portmann, and Thomas Tichelbaecker Working paper, 2026

Citizens across democracies increasingly view political opponents with distrust and hostility. I study how people perceive and experience these divides — examining whether partisan animosity reflects genuine disagreement or distorted perceptions of the other side.

Most work focuses on survey-based methods to understand polarization in the mass public. In work together with Lea Portmann, I study electoral behavior that can help us to understand the context in which de-polarized behavior takes place.

Previous work has shown that elites play a powerful role in shaping polarization of ordinary citizens. Building on this, I investigate which type of elites polarize and under which circumstances elites are able to reach out to voters that are ideologically distant.

Relevant work

Journal Articles

  1. What Do We Measure When We Measure Affective Polarization across Countries? Thomas TichelbaeckerNoam GidronWill Horne, and James Adams Public Opinion Quarterly, 2023
  2. Beyond Observational Relationships: Evidence from a Ten-country Experiment That Policy Disputes Cause Affective Polarization Noam GidronWill HorneThomas Tichelbaecker, and James Adams British Journal of Political Science, 2025

Books

  1. The European Ideological Space in Voters’ Own Words Noam Gidron, and Thomas Tichelbaecker Cambridge University Press, 2025

Work in Progress

  1. Cross-Ideological Vote Splitting – Measuring Political Polarization with Electoral Data Lea Portmann, and Thomas Tichelbaecker Working paper, 2026

I study how and when far-right parties are able to attract support in liberal democracies, scrutinizing the role of domestic out-migration and gender imbalances. I also try to understand how and when far-right parties can build an increasingly loyal electorate.

War and political violence leave lasting imprints on democratic politics. I study how exposure to conflict — whether through wartime casualties, political repression, or communal violence — reshapes citizens’ political attitudes and behavior long after the fighting ends. I also study how political violence in established democracies shapes the composition of political elites.

Focusing on the case of Germany, I analyze the tools that militant democracies already have at their disposal to fend off challenges undermining state institutions. In particular, I focus on how state surveillance and the threat of disciplinary consequences can deter civil servants from joining extremist parties.

Relevant work

Journal Articles

  1. War and Nationalism: How WW1 Battle Deaths Fueled Civilians’ Support for the Nazi Party Alexander De JuanFelix HaassCarlo KoosSascha Riaz, and Thomas Tichelbaecker American Political Science Review, 2024
  2. Does Political Violence Undermine Descriptive Representation? The Case of Women in Politics Jey AlizadeFabio EllgerMarius Grünewald, and Thomas Tichelbaecker European Journal of Political Research, 2025

Work in Progress

  1. Still competing for loyalists? Thomas Tichelbaecker, and Arndt Leininger Working paper, 2026
  2. Guarding the State: How Militant Democracy Constrains the Far Right Thomas Tichelbaecker, and Jey Alizade Working paper, 2026